This is where metrics make zero sense to me. Is it because they played 9 q4 teams? Looks like they only had one bad loss all year
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Thread: Brackets and Rankings: 2024-2025
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02-18-2025, 11:16 AM #181
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02-18-2025, 11:23 AM #182
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Last edited by XUMIOH12; 02-18-2025 at 11:27 AM.
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02-18-2025, 03:16 PM #183
It's worth pointing out that he has UC San Diego and George Mason seeded ahead of the First Four. How much does he think they would drop if one or both ended up needing the at-large bid?
If Drake and UC San Diego both win out until their conference tournaments, I think the committee takes them. I obviously can't prove that, and others may disagree, but it is my own personal opinion that this particular committee will select those two teams if they win out. I could also see them possibly selecting UC Irvine simply because of the sheer number of games they have won away from home. Again, I could be completely wrong, but they have the type of profile that the committee NORMALLY (albeit not always) places inside the bubble.
Another thing that I noticed about the committee's top 16 teams this past week. Where a team tops out carries a lot of weight. Kentucky has some garbage in the middle of their profile, but the top of thier profile is outstanding and the committee gave them a protected seed. That is NOT a good sign for Xavier because the top of X's profile is not that great. It's also bad for UC Irvine, who I know I just said might get selected, but I'm just saying. Perhaps they're both left out.
Just a side note, Yale does not have the profile and won't get in without winning the Ivy Tournament, but holy crap are they good!! They didn't get up to their full speed right away, and therefore didn't quite get the wins early in the season that they needed, but February Yale would blow November Yale off the floor, and if Yale were to play the four teams that Lunardi has on his 10 line, I think they'd blow all four of them off hte court."You can't fix stupid." Ron White
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02-18-2025, 03:35 PM #184
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02-18-2025, 04:05 PM #185
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I’d argue that’s evidence that kenpom is crap too lol. I’m kidding about Kenpom partly, and x did this to themselves so I get being positioned where we are, but I think others around us are getting the benefit of the doubt for losses while x isn’t.
Regarding brew’s point about mid majors getting in, If recent history proves anything, it’s that the benefit of the doubt goes to the big 4 leagues over anyone, and yeah I don’t think anyone outside of the big East considers us on par with those 4 no matter how many titles the conference has in the last decade. Big East has a reach, messaging, marketing problem. I consider us one of the best leagues in the country, I’m not sure anyone else that doesn’t have financial interest or a fan of the team in the league believes that.Last edited by Xville; 02-18-2025 at 04:22 PM.
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02-18-2025, 04:43 PM #186
I think Xavier needs to win 4 out of the last 5 to have a decent chance to get at large. That is asking a lot. That quad 1 record is ugly. Sure could have used that win at St John's up 16 in the 2nd half that is the one that got away you had to have.
2014 RTS National Champion $200,000 (2460 teams) 2015 RTS 2nd Place $25,000 (3120 teams)
2012 NFFC National Champion $100,000 (1872 teams) 2015/2018 NCAA Bracketology 351/362 pts
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02-18-2025, 04:48 PM #187
4 of 5 is NIT unless we get 2 big wins at MSG before losing in the finals. It's win out or bust.
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02-18-2025, 04:50 PM #188
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02-18-2025, 06:25 PM #189
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02-18-2025, 09:36 PM #190
In KenPom Xavier moved from #52 to #52 with the win.
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