Politics Thread

**GoMuskies** · 11-04-2024, 12:08 PM

Originally Posted by bobbiemcgee

Guessing you don:t like the des moines poll

L

This poll? Seems pretty standard for Iowa.

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/no...-53-harris-43/

**GoMuskies** · 11-04-2024, 12:10 PM

Originally Posted by xubrew

most are just happy that they get to go out to the bars tonight and then sleep in tomorrow

I've never read something that gives me more hope for the future of America.

**bobbiemcgee** · 11-04-2024, 02:24 PM

Des moines poll Register 47-44 Harris.

**GoMuskies** · 11-04-2024, 02:36 PM

That poll is a major outlier. But go get some +400 (just switched to +375) Harris money on Betonline if you think it's real. I just got $10 down on it. Why not?

xuphan · 11-04-2024, 03:31 PM

Originally Posted by Xuperman

Yeah, I am in rural southern Ohio....definitely Trump heavy redneck country. Even if he loses, there will be zero issues here.

I predicted he is going down immediately after the debate...and nothing has changed. The "Never Trump" vote is just too significant.

There will be an angry MAGA response....but where and how? It is logical to think it will be in swing state capitals or DC again. The only question is how it gets organized.

Bad place for America.

Ya, I still feel like this is a 50/50 contest that will be drawn out weeks after the election on Tuesday. Both parties could have easily secured victory by choosing different candidates. I absolutely expect another stop the steal type of event or events from MAGA to be more intense than it was last election cycle. Trump will never admit defeat nomatter the loss and his base will support him to the ends of the Earth. Not sure what to expect from Democrats if they will start their own election interference protest if Trump wins. Maybe Obama, Bernie and Nancy will hold a rally on the southern border. Who knows.

**Muskie in dayton** · 11-05-2024, 07:15 AM

My employer sent out a notice to employees to work from home today and tomorrow if our office is located in the city, and to maintain "situational awareness" at all times regardless of where we live. That is what our country has become. It was quite the eye-opener.

Lord please be with our country today and bless us with a free and fair election. You have a plan, and we know the results of this election are part of your plan. Help all Americans to respect the winner and remember that regardless of who wins, you are ultimately in charge. Please bring an end to, and complete reconciliation for - the hate and divisive rhetoric that has filled the airwaves during this campaign cycle. We are all humans created in your image, and we are all Americans. I ask for forgiveness for such rhetoric I spread. May the next President and all those elected today govern with your guiding hand for the good of our republic and for all Americans. May they protect the freedom that is given by you, and always act in a manner consistent with Jesus' teachings, for the entirety of their terms.

**GoMuskies** · 11-05-2024, 08:23 AM

Originally Posted by GoMuskies

The momentum is obviously all with Harris as we come down to the wire, although they ticked back towards Trump just a bit in the last 24 hours.

Trump -147
Harris +127

Polymarket has Trump with a 57.9% chance to win as of this morning. You can see current odds and the trend here: https://polymarket.com/elections

Happy Election Day! Walked right up and voted with no line this morning. Deep red Republican territory, so good news for Democrats? Or just another example of structural racism with it being really easy for white folks to vote? You decide!

Final pre-polls closing morning check on the betting markets. I guess Trump is getting a Rogan endorsement bump, as he got a jolt in the betting markets in the last 24 hours. I'm mostly kidding about the Rogan endorsement bump, but his listeners might be more likely to be the type of person to participate in election wagering markets.

Trump -172
Harris +150

Polymarket has Trump with a 61.6% chance to win as of this morning. You can see current odds and the trend here: https://polymarket.com/elections

No idea when wagering stops on polymarket. Betonline will keep taking wagers until the winner is obvious.

Xville · 11-05-2024, 08:33 AM

In all seriousness, it looks like the Senate is going to the Republicans and the House to the dems. The house has been a complete clusterfuck with the 'pubs controlling it, so honestly im pretty happy to see that switch over, and its nice to have the balance of the pubs in the Senate.