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Thread: XU v. UC: Great Defense = Win
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01-25-2017, 01:56 PM #71
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01-25-2017, 03:08 PM #72
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01-25-2017, 03:12 PM #73
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01-25-2017, 04:25 PM #74President of the Eddie Johnson Fan Club
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01-25-2017, 04:31 PM #75
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01-25-2017, 04:41 PM #76
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01-25-2017, 05:53 PM #77
I think UC's chances of getting a #2 seed even if they win out are pretty much zero. I know the committee changes a little bit each year, but as recently as 2014 Louisville (an AAC team at the time) finished the regular season with 30 wins and ranked #4th in the nation. They got a #4 seed, and we learned that they actually got the last #4 seed.
To get a #1 seed you typically need to win a true road game against a protected seed. To get a #2 seed you at least need to beat multiple teams away from home that are in the top half of the bracket. UC will not do this even if they win out. Beating us at home is a decent win at best. It certainly isn't the kind of win that would land a team on the #2 line. We're 1-4 in true road games, and our best win of the year is probably against Clemson.
Teams like Villanova, Kentucky, Baylor, Kansas, Virginia, Arizona, Gonzaga, North Carolina (well if you count Clemson), and Florida State who all have multiple wins away from home against teams that are likely to make the tournament, and with the exception of North Carolina all have multiple wins away from home against teams that are likely to be the better seeded team in the Round of 64. On top of that, all of them have chances to pick up even more before it's over. UC does not. There's almost no chance that they are going to catch those teams even if they win out. Hell, I don't think of Butler as being a #2 seed, but they did beat Cincinnati and they have far more wins against the top half of the bracket than UC does, so it's hard for me to imagine UC ends up with a better seed than Butler even if they win out.
In short, no, I don't think they'll be a #2 seed."You can't fix stupid." Ron White
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