Masterofreality
12-27-2008, 09:28 PM
This week's poll that comes out on Monday will be very interesting for a number of reasons, not the least of which is to see where Xavier, Oh-ho-ho State and Gonzaga settle. We may have had an indication already, however, about how Gone-Zaga is viewed by the latest ESPN "Power Rankings". Now, admittedly, those "P.R.'s" are not a poll, but it fuels the thought of Zag-infatuation- largely unearned, especially when Xavier is considered in a similar scenario. Please peruse the following comparison between the 2007-2008 Xavier Musketeers at this point last year, and the 2008-2009 Gone-Zaga Zags at this point now:
07-08 Xavier previous year finish- Loss in NCAA second round to National Runner-Up.
08-09 Zaga previous year finish- Loss in NCAA first round to Elite 8 team.
(Noted to set credibility for following year)
07-08 Xavier Record 8-3
08-09 Zaga Record- 7-3-vs D-1. 8-3 overall.
07-08 Xavier Record vs Top 50- 3-1
08-09 Zaga Record vs Top 50- 3-1
07-08 Xavier Record vs Top 100- 4-3
08-09 Zaga Record vs Top 100- 3-3
07-08 Xavier Opp. Avg. RPI- 103 (2 opps above 200 RPI, 7 opps in Top 100)
08-09 Zaga Opp. Avg. RPI- 105 (D-2- Montana St. Billings not rankable) (2 opps above 200 RPI, 6 opps in Top 100)
07-08 Xavier Ranking Week 6 (12/17/07)- AP- No Ranking, ESPN- 24th , (after Az. St. loss)
08-09 Zaga Ranking Week 6 (12/22/08)- AP- 7th, ESPN- 7th (after UConn loss)
07-08 Xavier Ranking Week 7 (12/24/07)- AP- No Ranking, ESPN- No Ranking(after Tenn. loss)
08-09 Zaga Ranking Week 7 (12/29/08)- ?, but 15 in ESPN "Power Rankings". (after Portland St. loss)
Ok, we'll see where Gone-Zaga winds up in this week's polls, but I doubt they'll fall out completely like Xavier was dissed last year.
Here's the point of this exercise. Last year's Xavier team, schedule and results are almost identical to Gone-Zaga this year with the exception that Xavier had a better finish to the previous year, which should have given more cred in the bank. Xavier also had many significant players back last year like Gonzaga has this year. The difference is that last year's Xavier team was not given enough credit for their wins against Indiana, Kent, Creighton and Cincinnati early while being trashed for losing to #2 RPI Tennessee and good Arizona State. XU was not even ranked at all after losing to Tennessee. Meanwhile, Gone-zaga has been given all kinds of credit for beating Ok. State, Maryland, Tennessee who had similar RPI's to Xavier's wins last year (arguably, Indiana was better than any of Zaga's wins this year) and the Zags have not been dissed much for losing to Arizona, (with a similar RPI to AZ. St. last year) and UConn (who is similar to last year's Tennessee).
If the same criteria is used in this weeks rating of Gonzaga that was used for Xavier last year, Gonzaga should fall to about 30th in votes. Somehow, I doubt that will happen.
07-08 Xavier previous year finish- Loss in NCAA second round to National Runner-Up.
08-09 Zaga previous year finish- Loss in NCAA first round to Elite 8 team.
(Noted to set credibility for following year)
07-08 Xavier Record 8-3
08-09 Zaga Record- 7-3-vs D-1. 8-3 overall.
07-08 Xavier Record vs Top 50- 3-1
08-09 Zaga Record vs Top 50- 3-1
07-08 Xavier Record vs Top 100- 4-3
08-09 Zaga Record vs Top 100- 3-3
07-08 Xavier Opp. Avg. RPI- 103 (2 opps above 200 RPI, 7 opps in Top 100)
08-09 Zaga Opp. Avg. RPI- 105 (D-2- Montana St. Billings not rankable) (2 opps above 200 RPI, 6 opps in Top 100)
07-08 Xavier Ranking Week 6 (12/17/07)- AP- No Ranking, ESPN- 24th , (after Az. St. loss)
08-09 Zaga Ranking Week 6 (12/22/08)- AP- 7th, ESPN- 7th (after UConn loss)
07-08 Xavier Ranking Week 7 (12/24/07)- AP- No Ranking, ESPN- No Ranking(after Tenn. loss)
08-09 Zaga Ranking Week 7 (12/29/08)- ?, but 15 in ESPN "Power Rankings". (after Portland St. loss)
Ok, we'll see where Gone-Zaga winds up in this week's polls, but I doubt they'll fall out completely like Xavier was dissed last year.
Here's the point of this exercise. Last year's Xavier team, schedule and results are almost identical to Gone-Zaga this year with the exception that Xavier had a better finish to the previous year, which should have given more cred in the bank. Xavier also had many significant players back last year like Gonzaga has this year. The difference is that last year's Xavier team was not given enough credit for their wins against Indiana, Kent, Creighton and Cincinnati early while being trashed for losing to #2 RPI Tennessee and good Arizona State. XU was not even ranked at all after losing to Tennessee. Meanwhile, Gone-zaga has been given all kinds of credit for beating Ok. State, Maryland, Tennessee who had similar RPI's to Xavier's wins last year (arguably, Indiana was better than any of Zaga's wins this year) and the Zags have not been dissed much for losing to Arizona, (with a similar RPI to AZ. St. last year) and UConn (who is similar to last year's Tennessee).
If the same criteria is used in this weeks rating of Gonzaga that was used for Xavier last year, Gonzaga should fall to about 30th in votes. Somehow, I doubt that will happen.