RPI Wizard

[94GRAD]

You can predict our RPI based on which games you think we will win/lose.

http://www.rpiforecast.com/wizard/Xavier.html

[WCWIII]

Our RPI forecast (terrific site, by the way) is around 20 and gives me a lot of confidence that we're tourney bound this year. If we win 21-22 games this season, we should be right around there with an RPI in the 20s. Even going 20-11, puts us going into the BE tournament in the 30s in RPI which is still very likely for an at large bid.

We don't have such a strong OOC record (beat UC). Normally, a team like Auburn could be a real RPI killer if such a team becomes a bottom dweller in their conference. Their record and the Opponents Winning Percentage component of the RPI would bring us down. However, since the SEC is mediocre over most of the league, it's fairly probable that Alabama/Missouri/Auburn will be kind of average in conference with kind of average winning percentages and not hurt us much.

Then, the importance of scheduling a team like SFA or Murray State that are expected to do well in their conferences can greatly help the RPI. In short, it wasn't such a strong out of conference in terms of scheduling, but the scheduling has put us in a very good position to secure a tourney spot as long as the team takes care of business.

[waggy]

Scheduling teams like SFA and Murray was scheduling genius. Getting teams like that to visit in the non-con should probably cost a premium if it doesn't already.

How bad you beat them matters in this case too, because RPI forecast is predicting W/L off of Sagarin's numbers which has a venue factor and scoring differential in its ranking and predictions.

What I like on that site is the weight of opponents on a given teams schedule. For example, we don't even play Kentucky, but because we do play 2 or 3 SEC teams and possibly other common opponents, Kentucky has a very positive impact on X's RPI.