XU_Lou
03-19-2014, 02:44 PM
Long time reader, first time poster. Like most posters on this board, I was quite upset with last night's outcome. So I sat down today and compiled some stats to see where our problems were. Specifically, I wanted to see where this year's team compared to previous XU teams. The following are a few key stats that highlight some of our problem areas. Most of this data came from http://statsheet.com/ .
First of all are some key offensive stats:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Tourny Results
E-8
1st
2nd
E-8
S-16
S-16
1st
S-16
1st
Points Per Game
71.2
70.1
71.6
76.3
75.1
71.7
79.8
72.1
70.6
65.2
71.8
Scoring possessions / Total possessions
53.5
53.2
53.3
54.9
54.9
53.8
55.4
53.3
52.9
53
55
Points per 100 posessions
107.6
108.8
109
114.7
114.4
106.7
111
108.7
103.8
102.4
108.5
Free Throw Attempts
777
604
713
847
836
851
873
756
819
655
770
Free Throw Pct
68.9
73.2
72.4
74.1
74.9
67.6
71.1
74.7
69.5
66.7
68.8
My takeaway from this data is that we have performed about as well most of the previous teams in the past decade (on offense). The only downside from 2014 was that we got to the free throw line less than average, and our FT% was down. Probably cost us 2 or 3 points per game.
Surprisingly, even our assists and turnovers looked pretty could comparatively:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
% Field goals made that were assisted
54.5
63.8
64.5
59.8
60.3
54.8
51.4
54.1
52.4
48.2
57.2
Assists Per Game
13.4
15.2
15.7
14.9
15.2
13.3
14.1
13.2
13.1
11.2
14.6
Turnover Pct (turnovers per possession)
18.8
21.3
19.5
19
19.8
21.7
18
18.2
18.5
20.4
18.7
Turnovers Per Game
12.4
13.7
12.8
12.7
13
14.6
12.9
12.1
12.6
13
12.4
So where did we go wrong this year? To me it was all on the defensive end. Namely, defensive shooting percentage:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Points
63
65
63
65
63
61
69
64
67
62
68
FG%
41.4
43.3
39.6
43.1
41
38.6
41
40.6
40.2
40.5
43.1
3-Pt %
30.3
37.6
31.6
31.5
33.6
32.6
29.8
33.9
30.5
32.1
35.2
We also had a bit of a spike in fouls committed this year as well:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Fouls Per Game
16.6
17.8
17.7
17.7
17.3
18.6
18.9
17.2
18.5
17.5
19.9
However, fans should keep in mind that we arguably played the 2nd most difficult schedule in our history, as shown by our SOS:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
RPI
35
139
80
33
9
17
19
22
41
87
47
SOS
43
149
106
82
24
47
42
56
36
60
26
I think teams were able to exploit our deficiencies this year. Namely, Philmore and Stainbrook aren't the quickest guys on the court, and Dee is not the tallest. This may explain why teams were able to score on us this year, given that we were playing much better than normal competition.
Finally, I wanted to point out some stats on Dee Davis. Ask my wife, I've been extremely frustrated with him at times this year. It seemed to me that he was very careless with his passing this year, and thought that he was contributing to some of our losses. However, his stats may not bear that out. Maybe I was too hard on him. I compared his 2014 stats to Tu Holloway's stats as a Junior:
Dee had 4.66 assists / game
Tu had 5.44 assists / game
Dee 1.94 turnovers / game
Tu 3.44 turnovers / game
Dee 2.4 A/T ratio
Tu 1.6 A/T ratio
Also, Dee had 1.19 steals per game while Tu had 1.44 in his Jr year.
My take on the above data is that, if I recall correctly, Tu had his turnovers mostly on his dribble penetration, while Dee seems to cough up the ball on bad passes, thus they are more noticeable to us as fans.
Thoughts???
First of all are some key offensive stats:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Tourny Results
E-8
1st
2nd
E-8
S-16
S-16
1st
S-16
1st
Points Per Game
71.2
70.1
71.6
76.3
75.1
71.7
79.8
72.1
70.6
65.2
71.8
Scoring possessions / Total possessions
53.5
53.2
53.3
54.9
54.9
53.8
55.4
53.3
52.9
53
55
Points per 100 posessions
107.6
108.8
109
114.7
114.4
106.7
111
108.7
103.8
102.4
108.5
Free Throw Attempts
777
604
713
847
836
851
873
756
819
655
770
Free Throw Pct
68.9
73.2
72.4
74.1
74.9
67.6
71.1
74.7
69.5
66.7
68.8
My takeaway from this data is that we have performed about as well most of the previous teams in the past decade (on offense). The only downside from 2014 was that we got to the free throw line less than average, and our FT% was down. Probably cost us 2 or 3 points per game.
Surprisingly, even our assists and turnovers looked pretty could comparatively:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
% Field goals made that were assisted
54.5
63.8
64.5
59.8
60.3
54.8
51.4
54.1
52.4
48.2
57.2
Assists Per Game
13.4
15.2
15.7
14.9
15.2
13.3
14.1
13.2
13.1
11.2
14.6
Turnover Pct (turnovers per possession)
18.8
21.3
19.5
19
19.8
21.7
18
18.2
18.5
20.4
18.7
Turnovers Per Game
12.4
13.7
12.8
12.7
13
14.6
12.9
12.1
12.6
13
12.4
So where did we go wrong this year? To me it was all on the defensive end. Namely, defensive shooting percentage:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Points
63
65
63
65
63
61
69
64
67
62
68
FG%
41.4
43.3
39.6
43.1
41
38.6
41
40.6
40.2
40.5
43.1
3-Pt %
30.3
37.6
31.6
31.5
33.6
32.6
29.8
33.9
30.5
32.1
35.2
We also had a bit of a spike in fouls committed this year as well:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Fouls Per Game
16.6
17.8
17.7
17.7
17.3
18.6
18.9
17.2
18.5
17.5
19.9
However, fans should keep in mind that we arguably played the 2nd most difficult schedule in our history, as shown by our SOS:
Year
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
RPI
35
139
80
33
9
17
19
22
41
87
47
SOS
43
149
106
82
24
47
42
56
36
60
26
I think teams were able to exploit our deficiencies this year. Namely, Philmore and Stainbrook aren't the quickest guys on the court, and Dee is not the tallest. This may explain why teams were able to score on us this year, given that we were playing much better than normal competition.
Finally, I wanted to point out some stats on Dee Davis. Ask my wife, I've been extremely frustrated with him at times this year. It seemed to me that he was very careless with his passing this year, and thought that he was contributing to some of our losses. However, his stats may not bear that out. Maybe I was too hard on him. I compared his 2014 stats to Tu Holloway's stats as a Junior:
Dee had 4.66 assists / game
Tu had 5.44 assists / game
Dee 1.94 turnovers / game
Tu 3.44 turnovers / game
Dee 2.4 A/T ratio
Tu 1.6 A/T ratio
Also, Dee had 1.19 steals per game while Tu had 1.44 in his Jr year.
My take on the above data is that, if I recall correctly, Tu had his turnovers mostly on his dribble penetration, while Dee seems to cough up the ball on bad passes, thus they are more noticeable to us as fans.
Thoughts???