XUFan09
02-19-2014, 10:34 AM
I was just looking at RPI Forecast (http://www.rpiforecast.com/index2.html) to see what Xavier needs to happen for some of its better wins to be counted in the top 50:
Georgetown – Needs to go 3-2
St. John’s – Needs to go 3-1
Providence – Needs to go 3-1
The first two could be particularly important if Xavier picks up a win on the road against one of them. These records can all happen, even with a loss to Xavier in the first two instances, but (1) Marquette could easily play spoiler, as they face all three of these teams and two at home, and (2) Villanova and Creighton might have to sacrifice a little, though they would still easily be in the top 25.
Other teams:
Tennessee needs to go 4-1 to stay in the top 50. They play four straight borderline bad to awful teams (with the "toughest" one at home) before facing Mizzou at home, so it's still pretty likely.
Alabama has really dropped off. They had lost a lot of close games earlier in the season and it seemed like they would start winning more, just by law of averages, but it's become apparent that they often play to their opponent and a lot of their SEC opponents suck. They need to go 4-2 to just make the top 100 (a top 100 road win would actually look decent for Xaver), but I'd bet more on 2-4.
Cincinnati needs to go 2-3 to stay in the top 25. Considering they play projected RPI #202 UCF and #197 Rutgers, along with two home games, I think they'll manage.
Note: Conference tournaments could screw some of this up or benefit it. We're not close enough to even have a good idea of matchups though.
Georgetown – Needs to go 3-2
St. John’s – Needs to go 3-1
Providence – Needs to go 3-1
The first two could be particularly important if Xavier picks up a win on the road against one of them. These records can all happen, even with a loss to Xavier in the first two instances, but (1) Marquette could easily play spoiler, as they face all three of these teams and two at home, and (2) Villanova and Creighton might have to sacrifice a little, though they would still easily be in the top 25.
Other teams:
Tennessee needs to go 4-1 to stay in the top 50. They play four straight borderline bad to awful teams (with the "toughest" one at home) before facing Mizzou at home, so it's still pretty likely.
Alabama has really dropped off. They had lost a lot of close games earlier in the season and it seemed like they would start winning more, just by law of averages, but it's become apparent that they often play to their opponent and a lot of their SEC opponents suck. They need to go 4-2 to just make the top 100 (a top 100 road win would actually look decent for Xaver), but I'd bet more on 2-4.
Cincinnati needs to go 2-3 to stay in the top 25. Considering they play projected RPI #202 UCF and #197 Rutgers, along with two home games, I think they'll manage.
Note: Conference tournaments could screw some of this up or benefit it. We're not close enough to even have a good idea of matchups though.