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View Full Version : Your Monday Morning RPI Check



Bigbluebrotha
02-25-2008, 07:50 AM
Welcome to the last week of the regular season.

This morning, College RPI has our ladies at 51 and the Sagarin at 57. The College RPI bracket still has XU in the big show as the No. 10 in the New Orleans bracked facing Texas A&M. With that in mind I checked out Texas at Texas A&M yesterday - and - as you might imagine, there are some serious match-up problems there. I don't think Tashia will be able to overpower the A&M front line - or - if she does, she may be minus a limb at the end of it.

If XU's guards don't come around offensively in the next two weeks, it's going to be a short trip to the tournament.

As that's somewhat stating the obvious, I'm a little more concerned about St. Bonnies this week than Dayton. I think the ladies will be more than motivated to redeem themselves from the debacle of two weeks ago. Also it gets them RPI life support - Dayton is at 77/72 this morning.

The Bonnies 107/105 have now won three straight, including the "big one" over GW. They get UMASS on Wednesday in Amherst. Regardless of that outcome the team has its most wins since '84-'85 will be out to prove something against the Musketeers. It's a chance for the Bonnies to move up in the tournament seeding as well. I did notice St. B has a lot of players back from last year, but have changed up the starters. Notably, Priscilla Edwards, the point guard for the past couple seasons, seems to be coming off the bench and didn't play against St. Louis. I haven't determined if that's injury related or not, but I thought she was pretty good. St. B is a long trip and our ladies didn't exactly dominate La Salle or Fordham, especially in the second half at Fordham. Although, with Fordham Xavier went deep into the bench.

On your La Salle comments, I think it's pretty safe to determine the officiating will be insconsistent the rest of the way. I don't think it's been consistent all year. There are probably three good officials and the rest are a grab bag of whistle-happy or whistle-eating misfits.

I think the coaching staff accepts it, the players need to recognize it and not play into a position where a bad call costs them a game (see the first Dayton game where Joe Vacily gave Dayton the ball out of bounds with six seconds left when there were absolutely no blue shirts in the area off the missed free throw.) Need to get out front, stay out front and assert the match-up advantages.

I think it will be an interesting and telling week for our ladies.
I'll be out of town but following the radio stream.

I hope the ladies absolutely destroy Dayton and put the Flyers back in their place as the conference second-fiddle, just like the XU men did yesterday. There was a little too much celebration up there after the last game. Love to see Harris crank up a punctuating dunk on Nikki Oakland.

LET'S GO X, LET'S GO X, LET'S GO X!

spongebob
02-25-2008, 02:47 PM
Actually has XU up a notch, a #8 playing #9 Iowa State in Des Moines, with the winner getting (most likely) #1 Rutgers.


http://proxy.espn.go.com/ncw/bracketology

cinskyline
02-25-2008, 06:41 PM
#8 seems pretty generous to me, considering that we only have 2 top 50 RPI wins. I'm not sure I buy that seed by Creme. I think Palm's projection of a #10 seed is more accurate at this point.

spongebob
02-25-2008, 07:02 PM
Maybe leading the A-10, albeit Co-leading, carries some weight. I dont know. I would venture to say that most of the 8-10 teams are all about the same anyway. As such, the only reward of the higher seed is having to likely play a #1 instead of a #2 team if you get by game one.

xu_fan
02-25-2008, 11:06 PM
There is virtually no difference this year between playing 1 seed and a 2 seed. Unless we play Connecticut which would be bad than I believe we have a chance. The top 7-8 teams all could possibly be a 1 seed. I would love it if we had a second round game against Rutgers or say Stanford. Both teams have rarely CRUSHED teams and play nitty gritty. I know they both have beaten great teams but I'm telling you we match up well. I would love a shot at Rutgers. I really would. By the way I think they will get a 8 or 9 seed at this point. No one else is stepping up... Look at the other teams! I don't see a one that should be ahead of us..

XU-PA
02-26-2008, 06:47 AM
It's interesting to compare this year with the last couple.
I really think with the addition of a couple of legitimate stars that XU is finally starting to get some respect.
I seem to recall that an rpi in the 50's for us in the past was worth maybe "last four in" or more likely "Not In Tournament".
For example, this week he has Florida, Kentucky, Marquette, Michigan and Wisconsin as "NIT" and they are rpi, 45,50, 58, 62 and 66, so 2 are ahead of XU on the list.
and he has Florida St, James Madison, Kansas and TCU as the "last 4 in" and they have rpi of 47, 54, 43 and 52. Again 2 with better rpi than XU.

Has the time finally arrived that XU is given a nod because they have players that are entertaining to watch and highly promotable?
I'd love to be able to look back and compare week by week over the last few years, but don't have the history on file (or the patience) to do it.

Just a thought, but I think it spells good things for the future! Maybe the ruling world is starting to look at X as more than a nice little school that wins about 20 games a year.

HomerCecil
02-27-2008, 02:07 PM
I know I always tend to be the worry wart, but I'm not so sure we're *in* at all at this point. I know our out-of-conference scheduling was ambitious, but a lot of the teams we played have gone south since we played them. Believe it or not, as of today our SOS is 30 spots worse than it was at the end of last season.

The bad:
• The RPI of 51 is marginal for an at-large berth (think about it, 51/4 = nearly 13, which if you go stictly by RPI — which I know the committee doesn't — would put us at a 13 seed).

• Penn State is now 13-15 overall and has lost nine games in a row, including a loss to Northwestern in its last outing. On the other hand, they did beat Duke (?) and Pitt earlier this season, so they were playing very well. Unfortunately, their RPI now is 88 and falling.

• N.C. State was a ranked team when we knocked them off. Now, the Wolfpack is 8th in the ACC at 5-7 and only has two games remaining, including one against Maryland, which all but assures they will finish below .500 in the ACC. Their RPI is 58.

• Kansas' RPI still is decent at 43. However, they are 4-9 in the Big 12 and are in 11th of 12 teams. That's one we should have had, especially at home. The Jayhawks are 15-11 and will be underdogs in each of their final games against Texas, Iowa State and Kansas State, so they could easily be 15-14 when the regular season ends.

• Cincinnati (ugh!) is tied for last in the 16-team Big East. They have been blown out in nearly all of their league games — only one of the 12 losses so far is by less than 10 points. Still don't really understand how we lost this one, but at least it's the only *real* head scratcher and our only loss outside the top 100.

BUT, there is some good news.

The good:
• Georgia is still a very good win for us, even though they were highly overrated when we played them. They still have an RPI of 27 and are 7-5 in the SEC with games remaining against South Carolina (should be a W) and Tennessee (L), so they look to finish at 8-6 and should get into the NCAA tournament.

• Kentucky actually is becoming one of our better wins. The Wildcats still are just 14-13 overall, but have turned it around to somehow be in fourth place in the SEC with only a very winnable game against South Carolina left on the schedule. UK's five SEC losses have been to Tennessee (twice), LSU (twice) and Vanderbilt. UK also owns a win against Georgia and has beaten bubble teams Auburn and Florida.

• We are keeping pace with George Washington in the A10. GW is going to get into the tournament and if we can finish in a tie for the regular season title with them, it definitely helps. I think that's a large part of why both X and Temple are in the at-large discussion. It's really a shame we couldn't have beaten Dayton; we'd be in first in the league with only a loss at GW in the past two months (which would look really good).

• We beat Temple head to head.

In my opinion, Xavier and Temple might be battling for one berth. I think we have the upper hand on them, but should we meet in the A10 tournament, I'll be biting my nails.

I just don't buy that we're as solid a lock as some people, especially Charlie Creme, are making us to be.

xu_fan
02-27-2008, 05:05 PM
My opinion is simple:

If we win our last 2 games and atleast 1 game in the A-10 tourney... Were IN... Bottom line... I'd put money on it. I've been watching things very closely this year. I don't really see a way we'll be left out!

cinskyline
02-27-2008, 05:20 PM
My opinion is simple:

If we win our last 2 games and atleast 1 game in the A-10 tourney... Were IN... Bottom line... I'd put money on it. I've been watching things very closely this year. I don't really see a way we'll be left out!

If the standings stay the way they are now, X would not meet GW until the final game of the A-10 Tournament. They may have to win every game from now until then to be guaranteed an at-large bid. That's the way I look at it.

BlueBlob1
02-27-2008, 09:49 PM
sure do now after blowing that one tonight

xu_fan
02-27-2008, 10:12 PM
Things just got a lot uglier! I'm not so sure anymore