XH Madness Round Two Odds and Results

[Michigan Muskie]

Today I'll simulate round 2 of XH Madness using the following predictors, based on actual results between these seed matchups in NCAA tournament history:

1 vs. 8: 81.3% chance to win
Paulxu (-9) vs. x-band '01 (blowout win in round 1 by Paul vs. x-band's narrow escape)

(1) Paulxu..........93
(8) x-band '01....61

American X (-6.5) vs. MCXU (two high octane offenses)

(1)AmericanX.....77
(8)MCXU............45

LadyMuskie (-8) vs. xudash (both first round wins were average. Expect the same here)

(1) LadyMuskie.....65
(8) xudash...........69

1 vs. 9: 92.9% chance to win
Kahn's Krazy (-11) vs. gladdenguy (history gives gladdenguy a slim chance to win)

(1) Kahn's.......88
(9) gladden.....65

2 vs. 10: 59% chance to win
GoMuskies (-4.5) vs. Xpectations (The 10 seeds are on a roll, otherwise the spread is 6)

(2) GoMuskies......56
(10) Xpectations....60

PMI (-8.5) vs. xubrew (PMI's 108-66 round 1 victory influenced this line)

(2) PMI..........61
(10) xubrew....65

Snipe (-4) vs. MADXSTER (A 15 point win over 7-seed DanaAndVictory factors in here)

(2) Snipe.......69
MADXTER......58

DC Muskie (+10) vs. Michigan Muskie (My simulator. My game. Oddsmakers aren't dumb)

(2) DC Muskie......82
(10) Michigan.......91

3 vs. 6: 55.1% chance to win
Chico (-2) vs. muskiefan82 (Take the points. This could go either way.)

(3) Chico...............95
(6) muskiefan82.....73

nuts4xu (-1.5) vs. Fred Garvin 2.0 (nuts struggled with 14-seeded UCGRAD4X.)

(3) nuts4xu..........50
(6) Fred Garvin.....63

3 vs. 11: 70% chance to win
MasterofReality (-6.5) vs. blobfan (both squads squeaked by in round 1.)

(3) MOR...........98
(11) blobfan......74

6 vs. 14: 84.6% chance to win
Waggy (-4.5) vs. Juice (The percentages favor Waggy, but Juice is riding a wave of mo.)

(6) Waggy.........90
(14) Juice..........55

4 vs. 5: 50.9% chance to win
Titanxman04 (+2) vs. bobbiemcgee (did you see what bobbie did to EMP? Scary.)

(4) Titanxman04........56
(5) bobbiemcgee.......72

Tardy Turtle (-.5) vs. BBC 08 (flip a coin. Seriously, do it.)

(4) Tardy Turtle......82
(5) BBC 08.............90

XULucho (-1) vs. SixFig (Lucho has the stronger squad, but the book is counting on money being played on SixFig's top overall seed last year.

(4) XULucho.........62
(5) SixFig........... .51

4 vs. 12 seed: 59.3% chance to win
xeus (-3.5) vs. Pablo's Brother (xeus wins on paper, but Pablo's Brother has the sixth man advantage)

(4) xeus......................74
(12) Pablo's Brother.....94

I swear this 10 seed thing is random.

[BBC 08]

I just flipped a coin and it says I won. You don't have to simulate anything now.

[chico]

It doesn't bode well when the guy running the simulation tells you to take the points.

[Michigan Muskie]

I thought about flipping the outcome of my game with DC to avoid suspicion and possible lockup in a trunk in the nation's capital, but who am I to tinker with the integrity of this flawless system.

XH Madness 2012 (http://www.bracketmaker.com/tmenu.cfm?tid=422599)

[BBC 08]

YES! YES! First Sweet 16 in program history. Today is a great day.

[X-band '01]

Never had a chance against Paul's Killer Bs.

[paulxu]

Wait...this has already happened?
Dash, you took out the Lady before I could meet her? Whoa. That's not a nice thing to do.
I was counting on that game...planned on laying down to plead for mercy.

Now? Whole new ballgame. Start practicing whoever's next. You're history.

[Pablo's Brother]

Man, I stomped Xeus like Norfolk st?

[waggy]

Dammit, everyone knows Lady breaks out the latex unis for the S16.

[LadyMuskie]

Dammit, everyone knows Lady breaks out the latex unis for the S16.

So true. Nike made us new uniforms that were a mix of yoga pants and beach volleyball uniforms. Bummer for you guys. Guess my team will just have to have closed practices to get ready for next year. :p

[paulxu]

Dammit, everyone knows Lady breaks out the latex unis for the S16.

What the....?
Dash, this is on you. Our team has a great inside game.
(Think mud wrestling at Platinum Plus)
You will pay for this sir.

[Kahns Krazy]

1 vs. 9: 92.9% chance to win
Kahn's Krazy (-11) vs. gladdenguy (history gives gladdenguy a slim chance to win)

(1) Kahn's.......88
(9) gladden.....65


I thumped gladdenguy by 23 points. Where have I heard that number before??

[DC Muskie]

DC Muskie (+10) vs. Michigan Muskie (My simulator. My game. Oddsmakers aren't dumb)

(2) DC Muskie......82
(10) Michigan.......91



Wait, am I reading this correctly? I lost???!!!

Missed foul shots, no doubt played a part...oh and Michigan knows the refs.

I can't believe this...I have yet to get passed the first weekend. I'm going to have to slap someone. Starting obviously with my assistant coaches.

Then I'm going to smack my walk ons, finally finishing off with my starting five.

2nd seed my ass. More like a 15 seed the way we play. Losing by nine, probably closer then the score really was. Probably cut it to nine after being down by 27 for most of the game.

I bet we ended up with about 400 turnovers. I normally love turnovers, the ones with the icing on them, but man you'd think my team got paid by the number of times they turned the ball over.

They probably did, which is why I'm going to have to physically assult each and every one of them when we get home. Gangstas? Please. Gangstas don't lose to 10 seeded creators of the game by nine in the second round.

Gangstas don't care about that. Gangstas figure out who they need to get to figure out how the formula works to win this thing.

400 turnovers...probably 5-27 from the line.

Everybody had their uniforms on correctly though. Seniors can go off and work at Enterprise. Underclassmen are more then likley to transfer after I beat their ass for losing like this. Going to have to round up more white women to entice future recruits.

Our fans don't travel well. They like to eat $17 burritos. They think Five Guys is arguably one of the best hamburger places. They pronounce "Wimbledon" correctly. Our fans are pussies. I'm going to try my best and slap the vaginas out of them. If they travel, it would be easier, because then I would have them all in one place...now I gots to drive all over finding their stupid asses.

I'll be amazed if I don't fire myself after this loss. Horrible. Or at least fire myself after putting my hands and trying to strangle all of my players.

And fans.

82-91? Did we even play defense? Who is in charge of defense? We are DC Muskie, the "D" should stand for "Defense" not "Don't mind me, come on in and score!"

That's what she said.

All the reps we got this year. Wasted. All the time wasted positng on this site, wasted. I'm getting wasted. Your wasted. This whole court is wasted.

I feel sick. My stomach is starting to rumble and my eyes I are beggining to roll into the back of my head. I'm having trouble continuing this post.

82-91. Pathetic. Everyone associated with the team is getting their assess...whi...................................... .................................................. .................................................. .................................................. .................................................. .................................................. .................................................. .............................................

[LadyMuskie]

DC is handling his loss really well!

Also, how does one pronounce Wimbledon incorrectly?

[PMI]

My team blows it in round 2 again. xubrew totally sold his soul.

[Snipe]

DC Muskie was obviously overseeded and overrated. Heard that before. Everyone knew he was soft.

Tardy Turtle has never gotten a good whistle in these games. The fouth and fith fouls on Tardy were beyond reproach. And they say they let them play in these games. It was the travesty of the tournament.

Fred Garvin is my upset special. He is peaking at the right time of the year and I like his matchups going forward. Nobody wants to play the Garvinator right now. This is his time.

I got MOR next, and I couldn't imagine a bigger gas bag to send packing. "Check the tape" and all that. I hope he imparts his well grounded knowledge of coaching 3rd grade women's baskeball for the rest of us to peruse. He spent the weekend in Las Vegas with Chico. What a rat bastard. Imagine all the fun they had rooting for the King. He wasn't even preparing for his next round game. That kid is out of control, and needs to be sedated. My victory of him will be legendary.

I also want to say something about Madxter. We never schedule each other in the regular season because we have a close bond and we don't want to see the other guy lose. I would have gladly lost if he could have taken out that gasbag MOR. I will not only beat MOR,I will humiliate him, flay him and put him on public display for all to see what happens to enemies of the State. MOR is public enemy #1, and he is about to go down like a $20 whore.

MOR, your days are numbered. I am going to love putting you out of the Big Dance. I am going to dance on your grave. You mean nothing to me. People like to say "It isn't personal, it is just business" when they screw you. Well I will tell you what, this is personal, and you will squeal like a pig when I run right over the top of you. This matchup is forever, it is one for the ages. I couldn't envision a better way to end this bitter rivalry. Man on man, now is the time for you to man up my friend. I am going to defeat you, and I only hope you can take it like a man.

I love being the better man, and I am so much taller on the internet. I am a force of nature. I like my chances.

[XULucho27]

XULucho (-1) vs. SixFig (Lucho has the stronger squad, but the book is counting on money being played on SixFig's top overall seed last year.

(4) XULucho.........62
(5) SixFig........... .51

Defense.

We're just getting started.

[BBC 08]

Oh come on, Snipe. You are discounting me too much. You are taking away what these kids did and how well they did it.

[Tardy Turtle]

Tardy Turtle has never gotten a good whistle in these games. The fouth and fith fouls on Tardy were beyond reproach. And they say they let them play in these games. It was the travesty of the tournament.

My circa 2000 Larry Eustachy-esque meltdown was epic. The court is still littered with debris.

[MADXSTER]

Yes my team lost to Snipe.

It wasn't from a lack of effort or ability. It simply came down to focus.

Do you know how hard it is to focus when your opponent never stops talking. Tu & Mooga Mark have nothing on Snipe. My guys were given charts & graphs regarding ball trajectory, court dimensions, taco fillings, Micks actual height(with and without shoes) and so forth. We lost it at the free throw line. Period. The deluge of Too Much Information pertaining to everything and nothing simply outwore the team.

Snipe, you had a strategy and it worked. Kick some MOR Arse. If I have to lose I hope it is going to be the NC.